Posted 12 June 2004 - 04:55 PM
I considered Chibi, but if Cao Cao had not won at Guandu, there would probably never have been a battle at Chibi. And in my opinion, Chibi didn't really change anything in the long run, it only prolonged the inevitable. And yes I know the Sima's really won in the end, not Cao Cao, but my point is the same - Shu and Wu still lost.
At Guandu, Cao Cao turned the tide and opened the door for conquering the north, which gave him a vast power-base. It's long-term repercussions were the reason I voted for it.